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<channel>
	<title>Expectations &#8211; Herbert Lui</title>
	<atom:link href="https://herbertlui.net/category/expectations/feed/" rel="self" type="application/rss+xml" />
	<link>https://herbertlui.net</link>
	<description>Blog on creativity, marketing, and the human condition.</description>
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		<title>Your first try is a proof of concept</title>
		<link>https://herbertlui.net/your-first-try-is-a-proof-of-concept/</link>
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		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Herbert Lui]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 30 Jun 2026 15:11:00 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Creativity]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Creator Confidential]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Expectations]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Turning Stories]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://herbertlui.net/?p=5890</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[<p>A proof of concept is a test project. The point is to make sure an idea can actually be created in the physical world. Perhaps it’s a prototype, or simply a finalized version of a draft, demo, or sketch. If it’s your first time making something new, treat it like a proof of concept. Make [&#8230;]</p>
<p>The post <a rel="nofollow" href="https://herbertlui.net/your-first-try-is-a-proof-of-concept/">Your first try is a proof of concept</a> appeared first on <a rel="nofollow" href="https://herbertlui.net">Herbert Lui</a>.</p>
]]></description>
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<p>A proof of concept is a test project. The point is to make sure an idea can actually be created in the physical world. Perhaps it’s <a href="https://herbertlui.net/what-can-you-demo/">a prototype</a>, or simply a finalized version of a <a href="https://www.holloway.com/g/creative-doing/sections/draft-demo-and-sketch?ruid=9e2d86eb-c75b-4c01-8bf4-51969f5863fe&amp;utm_source=share_section_link&amp;vip_code=FRIENDS">draft, demo, or sketch</a>.</p>



<p>If it’s your first time making something new, treat it like a proof of concept. Make it a <a href="https://herbertlui.net/recoverable-and-irrecoverable-decisions/">recoverable risk</a>; don’t invest any money or time you can’t afford to lose. Avoid optimizing for profit, or making it perfect yet.</p>



<p><em>Inspired by Jeremy Leslie’s interview with </em><a href="https://magculture.com/blogs/journal/danny-miller-weapons-of-reason"><em>Danny Miller</em></a><em>.</em></p>
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		<title>Happiness, desires, values, and environments</title>
		<link>https://herbertlui.net/happiness-desires-values-and-environments/</link>
					<comments>https://herbertlui.net/happiness-desires-values-and-environments/#respond</comments>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Herbert Lui]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 27 Jun 2026 15:11:00 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Expectations]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Life]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://herbertlui.net/?p=5882</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[<p>“Desire is a contract that you make with yourself to be unhappy until you get what you want,” Naval Ravikant wrote. Sheryl Crow famously sang, “It’s not having what you want/It’s wanting what you&#8217;ve got.” Being happy with what you have is a reliable way to find happiness. The problem is it’s not so easy [&#8230;]</p>
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]]></description>
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<p>“Desire is a contract that you make with yourself to be unhappy until you get what you want,” Naval Ravikant wrote. Sheryl Crow famously sang, “It’s not having what you want/It’s wanting what you&#8217;ve got.” Being happy with what you have is a reliable way to <a href="https://herbertlui.net/charlie-munger-on-low-expectations/">find happiness</a>.</p>



<p>The problem is it’s not so easy to shape this sense of satisfaction. Companies collectively spend over a trillion dollars to shape your desires and persuade you to make change. People are constantly on social media influencing each other. A saying attributed to Arthur Schopenhauer goes, “A man can do as he will, but not will as he will.”</p>



<p>Rene Girard’s mimetic theory suggests that you want what the people around you want.</p>



<p>One solution is to figure out what your core values are—your <a href="https://psyche.co/guides/how-to-know-what-you-really-want-and-be-free-from-mimetic-desire">authentic desires</a>—and to focus on taking action that aligns with them.&nbsp;</p>



<p>Still, an awareness of your conscious values may clash with your unconscious desires. The key to alignment is in your physical and social environment. If you can shape your environment, you can also influence what you want.&nbsp;</p>



<p>If you want to want something different, then you need to either reshape your environment or change it entirely.</p>
<p>The post <a rel="nofollow" href="https://herbertlui.net/happiness-desires-values-and-environments/">Happiness, desires, values, and environments</a> appeared first on <a rel="nofollow" href="https://herbertlui.net">Herbert Lui</a>.</p>
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		<title>A market fueled by purpose</title>
		<link>https://herbertlui.net/a-market-fueled-by-purpose/</link>
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		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Herbert Lui]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 25 Jun 2026 17:26:00 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Around the World]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Expectations]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Turning Stories]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://herbertlui.net/?p=5877</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[<p>There are a lot of dedicated entrepreneurs who have set up their own dog rescue agencies in South Korea. Each one has, effectively, created their own market. They rescue dogs in troubled circumstances, and match them up with people who want to have a dog in their life. It sounds simple enough, but logistics can [&#8230;]</p>
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]]></description>
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<p>There are a lot of dedicated entrepreneurs who have set up their own dog rescue agencies in South Korea. Each one has, effectively, <a href="https://www.holloway.com/g/creative-doing/sections/create-your-own-market?ruid=9e2d86eb-c75b-4c01-8bf4-51969f5863fe&amp;utm_source=share_section_link&amp;vip_code=FRIENDS">created their own market</a>. They rescue dogs in troubled circumstances, and match them up with people who want to have a dog in their life.</p>



<p>It sounds simple enough, but logistics can get tricky quickly, especially with international laws and regulations. Plus, all of this takes place over the internet and with the help of dedicated volunteers who help chaperone dogs from South Korea to destinations around the world.&nbsp;</p>



<p>I can imagine many others involved: employees to help manage the market (including finding the dogs, managing the website and social media, telling the story for each dog, filtering through applicants, taking photos, etc.), people who are willing to foster and offer temporary homes to dogs, people who care for the dogs who are waiting for adoption, people at pet stores who donate food, and so on. It’s all people.</p>



<p>Today, my wife and I picked up a dog we adopted through one of these organizations. We’re really grateful for the opportunity, and we hope to get her adjusted to her new home.</p>



<p>In my brief participation in this market, I can feel how much passion and purpose fuels the people running it.</p>



<p>It means a lot. It makes a difference. It saves lives.&nbsp;</p>



<p>If you work in marketing and experience cynicism about the industry, this is a reminder of the change that this line of work can enable.</p>
<p>The post <a rel="nofollow" href="https://herbertlui.net/a-market-fueled-by-purpose/">A market fueled by purpose</a> appeared first on <a rel="nofollow" href="https://herbertlui.net">Herbert Lui</a>.</p>
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		<title>Creative contribution</title>
		<link>https://herbertlui.net/creative-contribution/</link>
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		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Herbert Lui]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 23 Jun 2026 15:11:00 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Creativity]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Creator Confidential]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Expectations]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Turning Stories]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://herbertlui.net/?p=5872</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[<p>Awards and sales performance are the easiest ways to measure creative work. They also frame the creative process as a competition. There are winners and losers in both, and it focuses on results.&#160; This isn’t a useful frame for actually making something you want to make, which is what being a creative person actually means. [&#8230;]</p>
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]]></description>
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<p>Awards and sales performance are the easiest ways to measure creative work. They also frame the creative process as a competition. There are winners and losers in both, and it focuses on results.&nbsp;</p>



<p>This isn’t a useful frame for actually making something you want to make, which is what <a href="https://herbertlui.net/what-it-means-to-be-a-creative-person/">being a creative person</a> actually means.</p>



<p>Instead, shift your focus to the process. Measure your creative work by your contribution. What can you give? Who can you help? Where can you offer support?</p>



<p>In <em>The Courage to Be Disliked</em>, a fictional <a href="https://herbertlui.net/why-you-feel-lost-what-to-do-next/">philosopher character explains</a>, “It is through labor that one makes contributions to others and commits to one’s community, and that one truly feels ‘I am of use to someone’ and even comes to accept one’s existential worth.”&nbsp;</p>



<p>Creative contribution is the guiding star. The rest of the metrics are just noise, useful for marketing, but not very useful for actually making stuff.&nbsp;</p>
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		<title>Against reality distortion</title>
		<link>https://herbertlui.net/against-reality-distortion/</link>
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		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Herbert Lui]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 17 Jun 2026 15:11:00 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Expectations]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Turning Stories]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://herbertlui.net/?p=5858</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[<p>One of the most intriguing qualities about Steve Jobs is described as his “reality distortion field.” It seemed like he was able to bend reality to his will. For example, with its influence, he occasionally made unrealistic deadlines happen like the original Apple Macintosh computer, or going public with the Pixar IPO right after Toy [&#8230;]</p>
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<p>One of the most intriguing qualities about Steve Jobs is described as his “<a href="https://www.folklore.org/Reality_Distortion_Field.html">reality distortion field</a>.” It seemed like he was able to bend reality to his will. For example, with its influence, he occasionally made unrealistic deadlines happen like the <a href="https://folklore.org/Real_Artists_Ship.html">original Apple Macintosh computer</a>, or going public with the Pixar IPO right after <em>Toy Story</em>’s debut.</p>



<p>But even Steve had limits to his abilities; he couldn’t make his original vision for NeXT’s black cubes work, and the business needed to pivot into selling enterprise software to survive. He denied that Lisa Brennan-Jobs was his daughter for many years. And, he couldn’t distort his way <a href="https://michaelshermer.com/articles/the-reality-distortion-field/">out of cancer</a>.</p>



<p>I had once planned on writing a book about reality distortion, and how today’s business leaders seem to have continued the tradition. As the years go by, I’ve grown to see its undisciplined use as a risky, unhealthy, and unreliable practice.&nbsp;</p>



<p>Engaging a healthy, expansive, and <a href="https://herbertlui.net/the-ride-of-a-lifetime-bob-iger-bill-gates-satya-nade/">optimistic</a> attitude is different from engaging an extreme delusional perspective.&nbsp;</p>



<p>Reality <a href="https://herbertlui.net/reality-catches-up/">catches up</a>. There are much more <a href="https://herbertlui.net/coping-with-reality/">constructive ways</a> to deal with painful reality checks. As <a href="https://herbertlui.net/optimism-vs-delusion/">Will Smith wrote</a>, “The bigger the fantasy you live, the more painful the inevitable collision with reality. Reality is going to pay you back in equal proportion to your delusion.”</p>



<p>When you want to connect with reality, loosen up your grip on what you believe and your vision for the future, and see what happens. As Philip K. Dick wrote, “Reality is that which, when you stop believing in it, doesn’t go away.” Or as Oliver Burkeman <a href="https://ckarchive.com/b/8kuqhoh0rwq26s3n66mnqfk9o2999h3">paraphrases Michael Singer</a>, “Reality doesn’t need you to help operate it.”</p>



<figure class="wp-block-embed is-type-wp-embed is-provider-herbert-lui wp-block-embed-herbert-lui"><div class="wp-block-embed__wrapper">
<blockquote class="wp-embedded-content" data-secret="mPVAW4mvbA"><a href="https://herbertlui.net/hype-vs-reality/">Hype vs. reality</a></blockquote><iframe class="wp-embedded-content" sandbox="allow-scripts" security="restricted" title="&#8220;Hype vs. reality&#8221; &#8212; Herbert Lui" src="https://herbertlui.net/hype-vs-reality/embed/#?secret=fwFOtslJOB#?secret=mPVAW4mvbA" data-secret="mPVAW4mvbA" width="500" height="282" frameborder="0" marginwidth="0" marginheight="0" scrolling="no"></iframe>
</div></figure>
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		<title>Modest shapes</title>
		<link>https://herbertlui.net/modest-shapes/</link>
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		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Herbert Lui]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 16 Jun 2026 15:11:00 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Creativity]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Creator Confidential]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Expectations]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Turning Stories]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://herbertlui.net/?p=5855</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[<p>Whenever I come across an interesting idea, I hear my mind’s chatter, “This would be a great book.” I can envision the book cover with a big, bold, title. The feeling is captivating, almost euphoric; I call it a creative fever.&#160; A few moments, or perhaps days, later, I realize that I’m not going to [&#8230;]</p>
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<p>Whenever I come across an interesting idea, I hear my mind’s chatter, “This would be a great book.” I can envision the book cover with a big, bold, title. The feeling is captivating, almost euphoric; I call it a <a href="https://herbertlui.net/creative-fevers/">creative fever</a>.&nbsp;</p>



<p>A few moments, or perhaps days, later, I realize that I’m not going to have the time and energy to write it at this moment; maybe I never will. My hands are full, and life is too short. That fever turns into grief.</p>



<p>This process takes place in a similar spirit to how Visakan Veerasamy describes his unfinished drafts as having “<a href="https://visakanv.substack.com/p/surfs-up">grandiose shapes</a>.” He explains, “They’re conceptualized from the beginning in ways that require a lot of time and energy to finish, and would also require quite a lot from my readers.”</p>



<p>Several years ago, I realized that focusing on <a href="https://herbertlui.net/the-agile-writer/">agility</a> as a writer can be useful. A couple of years after that, I started writing every day at this blog.&nbsp;</p>



<p>This practice is training my brain to take big ideas and, instead of putting them into a grandiose shape that I don’t have bandwidth to work on, find a more <a href="https://herbertlui.net/big-ideas-small-papers/">modest one for them</a> that <a href="https://herbertlui.net/one-of-the-most-important-rules-to-writing/">I’m actually capable of</a>. It’s <a href="https://herbertlui.net/in-praise-of-scruffy-writing/">much scruffier</a>. It’s imperfect because it meets <a href="https://herbertlui.net/why-writing-is-fun-for-me/">the real world</a>. The game doesn’t end when an idea is in the form of a book; the whole point of the game is to <a href="https://herbertlui.net/the-infinite-game-of-blogging-1000-posts-later/">keep writing</a>.</p>
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		<title>Multiple strategies</title>
		<link>https://herbertlui.net/multiple-strategies/</link>
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		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Herbert Lui]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 13 Jun 2026 15:11:00 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Creator Confidential]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Expectations]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Turning Stories]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://herbertlui.net/?p=5849</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[<p>Advice from a strategist, which resonated with me:&#160; You don’t need to pursue one strategy at a time. You can draft up three to five strategies, test them out, and see which ones work. In fact, it’s probably useful to think of more than one path to win.&#160; The most effective entrepreneurs and companies generally [&#8230;]</p>
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<p>Advice from a strategist, which resonated with me:&nbsp;</p>



<p>You don’t need to pursue one strategy at a time. You can draft up three to five strategies, test them out, and see which ones work. In fact, it’s probably useful to think of more than one path to win.&nbsp;</p>



<p>The most effective entrepreneurs and companies generally practice this. The art is in executing these strategies and tests, and conducting effective research.</p>
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		<title>Play the whole game</title>
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		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Herbert Lui]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 11 Jun 2026 15:11:00 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Creativity]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://herbertlui.net/?p=5845</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[<p>During the first half of yesterday’s NBA finals playoff game, the New York Knicks were losing by a lot. At one point, they were trailing by 29 points. They were not playing well at all. For context, no team losing by that much has ever come back to win in the finals. They were leading the [&#8230;]</p>
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<p>During the first half of yesterday’s NBA finals playoff game, the New York Knicks were losing by a lot. At one point, they were trailing by 29 points. They were not playing well at all.</p>



<p>For context, no team losing by that much has ever come back to win in the finals. They were leading the series by 2-1.&nbsp;</p>



<p>I wondered if the coach would just sit their star players and let their opponents, the San Antonio Spurs, have it. Rest and focus on the next win.</p>



<p>Nope. The Knicks played another two consistent quarters, and ended up winning by a point. It was the greatest comeback in NBA finals history.</p>



<p>Play the whole game. Give yourself a chance to snap out of the funk, and for your opponents to make mistakes. Don’t quit at the half.</p>
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		<title>The quality of your decision making process vs. how it turns out</title>
		<link>https://herbertlui.net/the-quality-of-your-decision-making-process-vs-how-it-turns-out/</link>
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		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Herbert Lui]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 07 Jun 2026 15:11:00 +0000</pubDate>
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		<category><![CDATA[Expectations]]></category>
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					<description><![CDATA[<p>In Thinking in Bets, author and retired poker player Annie Duke believes that good poker players and good decision-makers are comfortable with uncertainty in the world. They accept that they’ll almost never know how things will turn out. “Instead of focusing on being sure, they try to figure out how unsure they are, making their [&#8230;]</p>
<p>The post <a rel="nofollow" href="https://herbertlui.net/the-quality-of-your-decision-making-process-vs-how-it-turns-out/">The quality of your decision making process vs. how it turns out</a> appeared first on <a rel="nofollow" href="https://herbertlui.net">Herbert Lui</a>.</p>
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<p>In <em>Thinking in Bets</em>, author and retired poker player Annie Duke believes that good poker players and good decision-makers are comfortable with uncertainty in the world. They accept that they’ll almost never know how things will turn out.</p>



<p>“Instead of focusing on being sure, they try to figure out how unsure they are, making their best guess at the chances that different outcomes will occur,” she writes. “The accuracy of those guesses will depend on how much information they have and how experienced they are at making such guesses. This is part of the basis of all bets.”</p>



<p>From this perspective, Annie suggests taking a more considered approach to when outcomes don’t unfold as we predicted or would have preferred. You’re not 100% wrong.</p>



<p>One key is to learn from the experience, and to examine the outcome to see if there are any insights or factors you can learn that might improve your reasoning the next time you need to make a decision.</p>



<p>The other is to accept that no matter how good your decision is—or how bad—sometimes factors that are out of your control have a greater effect on the outcome. “Luck” is just a word we use to describe these factors.&nbsp;</p>



<p>Perhaps it’s assuring to remember that life is probabilistic; if you get to make enough decisions, and you learn from each outcome and improve your decision quality, your outcomes should also improve. At the same time, any given decision could turn out in a way you don’t expect.</p>



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<p>The post <a rel="nofollow" href="https://herbertlui.net/the-quality-of-your-decision-making-process-vs-how-it-turns-out/">The quality of your decision making process vs. how it turns out</a> appeared first on <a rel="nofollow" href="https://herbertlui.net">Herbert Lui</a>.</p>
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		<title>No bad beats</title>
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		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Herbert Lui]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 06 Jun 2026 15:11:00 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Creativity]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Expectations]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Turning Stories]]></category>
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					<description><![CDATA[<p>In poker, when you have a favorable hand only to get beaten by an underdog, you’ve experienced a “bad beat.” It wasn’t supposed to work out like that; only it did.&#160; In The Biggest Bluff, author Maria Konnikova writes about her journey to becoming a professional poker player. She meets champion Erik Seidel, who takes [&#8230;]</p>
<p>The post <a rel="nofollow" href="https://herbertlui.net/no-bad-beats/">No bad beats</a> appeared first on <a rel="nofollow" href="https://herbertlui.net">Herbert Lui</a>.</p>
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<p>In poker, when you have a favorable hand only to get beaten by an underdog, you’ve experienced a “bad beat.” It wasn’t supposed to work out like that; <a href="https://herbertlui.net/confidence-buffer/">only it did</a>.&nbsp;</p>



<p>In <em>The Biggest Bluff</em>, author Maria Konnikova writes about her journey to becoming a professional poker player. She meets champion Erik Seidel, who takes her on as his student.</p>



<p>After narrowly losing a tournament, Maria finds Erik to vent about a bad beat. The odds had been in her favor. Erik, who is usually a good listener, uncharacteristically interrupts her. He tells her, “Bad beats are a really bad mental habit. You don’t want to ever dwell on them. It doesn’t help you become a better player.”</p>



<p>Instead, Erik tells Maria, “Focus on the process, not the luck. Did I play correctly? Everything else is just BS in our heads. Thinking that way won’t get you anywhere. You <em>know</em> about the randomness of it but it doesn’t help to think about it.”</p>



<p><a href="https://herbertlui.net/what-do-you-want-to-focus-on/">Focusing</a> on luck—randomness, uncertainty, chaos—encourages you to abdicate control over the situation. You feel like a victim. Instead, as Maria reflects, if you made the best decision possible, you want to say something more like this to yourself: “I made the correct decision. Sure, the outcome didn’t go my way, but I thought correctly under pressure. And that’s the skill I can control.” Things don’t just happen to you, you can take responsibility for your actions. If you’re learning, then you focus on the process, and the lesson you learned, and make sure to apply it to the next decision.</p>



<p>This attitude amplifies luck, in a sense; it leads you to focus on factors that you can control, to learn from the outcomes, which in turn energizes other people and encourages them to keep you at the <a href="https://herbertlui.net/top-of-mind/">top of their minds</a>.&nbsp;</p>



<p>I’m not a poker player, and I’ve gotten complimented on my ability to take feedback, but I’ve still often fallen into the vicious habit of framing outcomes as bad beats. As I reflect, I think about the times I’ve blamed circumstances or other people when I should have been deconstructing the outcome (by myself or with a peer/teacher), learning from it, and <a href="https://herbertlui.net/game-reps/">making a better decision and effort next time</a>.&nbsp;</p>



<p>Moving forward, I’ll take the advice from Maria and Erik: “No bad beats. Forget they ever happened.”</p>



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